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Pine, spruce, aspen, poplar and larch trees dominate the forestlands of Canada's Boreal.

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The Boreal Forest at Risk: A Progress Report

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PART 1: HOW MANY LANDBIRDS OF HOW MANY SPECIES ARE PRODUCED IN CANADA'S BOREAL FOREST?

1. b. How many individual landbirds are estimated to breed in the boreal forest?

This report uses ballpark estimates, which are the best available, to illustrate major patterns of boreal breeding birds. It relies on methodology that is as consistent as possible across the boreal. This methodology also enables us to produce comparable estimates for the remainder of birds found in Canada and the United States, so that in Part 2, we can estimate the proportion of North America's birds that rely on the boreal region.5 The North American Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) and the Breeding Bird Census (BBC) are the only two standardized bird surveys that are widespread enough in Canada to allow estimation of Canada's boreal breeding population for most landbird species. These are the primary sources of data used to estimate breeding bird populations for this report.

The main advantage of using BBC data is that the count procedure is intensive, and produces density estimates. Sites are not randomly assigned, but habitat data collected with the surveys can be used to extrapolate to a broader landscape. However, not all habitats have been covered well by the BBC in Canada and data collection peaked between 1965 and 1982, so most of the data are now more than two decades old.6

Breeding Bird Census (BBC) sites   Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) routes
BBC BBS
Figure 2: Sites with data from Breeding Bird Census and Breeding Bird Survey, in Canada.

The North American Breeding Bird Survey routes are particularly rich in data and often contain several years of data collection per route. Coverage is good across southern Canada (see Figure 2) and the United States. The most important deficiency of the BBS is poor geographic coverage of the boreal. Most of the 221 boreal routes with usable data are located in the southern portions of the boreal, and very few are located in taiga regions. 7

Using calculations based on both sources of data, we estimate that one to three billion landbirds breed in Canada's boreal forest each year. (see Table 1).

  Table 1: Estimates of breeding landbirds in Canada's Boreal Forest, by Bird Conservation Region  
    BCR BCR Area Total Landbirds  
  BCR Name # (km2) (sq miles) BB Survey BB Census  
  Boreal Softwood Shield 8 1,471,238 568,101 430,000,000 1,100,000,000  
  Taiga Shield & Hudson Plains 7 1,725,659 666,342 430,000,000 580,000,000  
  Boreal Taiga Plains 6 1,310,443 506,012 360,000,000 570,000,000  
  Northwestern Interior Forest 4 704,762 272,135 160,000,000 290,000,000  
  Boreal Canada Totals   5,212,102 2,012,590 1,400,000,000 2,500,000,000  

Table 2: Estimated Number of Boreal-breeding Landbirds, by Family
           
    Family Species BB Census BB Survey  
  Parulidae (Wood-Warblers) 27 1,000,000,000 310,000,000  
  Emberizidae (Sparrows & Allies) 26 680,000,000 460,000,000  
  Turdidae (Thrushes) 11 270,000,000 200,000,000  
  Tyrranidae (Flycatchers) 15 130,000,000 54,000,000  
  Vireonidae (Vireos) 6 88,000,000 84,000,000
  Regulidae (Kinglets) 2 84,000,000 53,000,000  
  Picidae (Woodpeckers) 9 51,000,000 18,000,000  
  Fringillidae (Finches) 10 30,000,000 47,000,000  
  Corvidae (Jays, Crows & Allies) 7 30,000,000 23,000,000  
  Phasianidae (Grouse & Allies) 9 25,000,000 6,700,000  
  Paridae (Chickadees & Allies) 4 25,000,000 14,000,000  
  Icteridae (Blackbirds & Allies) 11 20,000,000 27,000,000  
  Hirundinidae (Swallows) 7 19,000,000 23,000,000  
  Troglodytidae (Wrens) 4 17,000,000 25,000,000  
  Cardinalidae 2 7,800,000 1,800,000  
  25 other landbird families 54 39,000,000 34,000,000  
  Boreal Canada Totals 204 2,500,000,000 1,400,000,000  

Warblers, sparrows and thrushes are particularly abundant in the boreal forest (see Table 2). These three landbird families comprise more boreal birds than all other landbird families put together. In part this is due to the large number of warbler and sparrow species that breed in the boreal.

The top 25 landbirds found in the boreal, in terms of estimated abundance, are listed in Table 3. Warblers and sparrows dominate this list too, with 10 and nine species respectively of each. The breeding population of each of the most abundant species is estimated to exceed 100 million, using both BBS and BBC data. Many of these species breed outside of the boreal forest as well. All of these species are migratory, emphasizing the seasonal nature of bird abundance in the boreal forest, and underscoring the importance of non-boreal habitats during non-breeding periods of the year.

Table 3: Estimated Boreal Populations of 25 Abundant Landbird Species
 
    Species BB Census BB Survey  
  Dark-eyed Junco 210,000,000 170,000,000  
  Yellow-rumped Warbler 180,000,000 82,000,000  
  Tennessee Warbler 160,000,000 21,000,000  
  Swainson's Thrush 120,000,000 56,000,000  
  White-throated Sparrow 110,000,000 110,000,000  
  Ovenbird 98,000,000 12,000,000  
  Chipping Sparrow 82,000,000 44,000,000  
  American Robin 73,000,000 92,000,000  
  Red-eyed Vireo 69,000,000 68,000,000  
  Ruby-crowned Kinglet 68,000,000 45,000,000  
  Magnolia Warbler 67,000,000 23,000,000  
  Blackpoll Warbler 60,000,000 13,000,000  
  Least Flycatcher 59,000,000 8,800,000  
  Yellow Warbler 45,000,000 13,000,000  
  Chestnut-sided Warbler 45,000,000 4,300,000  
  Lincoln's Sparrow 44,000,000 30,000,000  
  White-crowned Sparrow 42,000,000 35,000,000  
  Bay-breasted Warbler 41,000,000 2,500,000  
  Northern Waterthrush 40,000,000 6,900,000  
  Swamp Sparrow 37,000,000 7,300,000  
  American Tree Sparrow 37,000,000 6,000,000  
  Gray-cheeked Thrush 37,000,000 4,000,000  
  Savannah Sparrow 36,000,000 20,000,000  
  Palm Warbler 35,000,000 8,500,000  
  Fox Sparrow 35,000,000 7,500,000  

In all of the above tables, BBC estimates tend to be higher than those based on BBS. This is at least partly because many birds present within detection distance at BBS stops are not counted, even at peak detection times of day.


5These estimates are the best that can be made as survey data are limited or lacking altogether for some species, especially those breeding in the more remote northern parts of the boreal.
6 The Canadian Breeding Bird Census (BBC) Database (Kennedy et al. 1999) provides a relatively simple means of estimating total populations, as it contains breeding pair density information from 640 sites spread across 76 of Canada's 194 ecoregions (Figure 2). Of these sites, 138 were sampled in the boreal, mainly in the southern parts of BCRs 6 and 8.
Total populations were estimated from BBC data by averaging BBC bird densities within ecoregions, multiplying by ecoregion area to obtain ecoregion totals, then extrapolating to Bird Conservation Regions based on BCR size. For the Quebec taiga portion of the boreal, and for BCR 4, range maps were used in combination with BBC data to avoid extrapolating populations outside of their range, as these two large areas are lacking BBC data.
7 To avoid inappropriate extrapolation of BBS densities from the heavily-sampled south to less-sampled north, calculations were stratified by ecozone within BCRs 6 and 7, and stratified by province within BCR 8.
BBS data are indices of abundance; additional data and/or assumptions are needed to convert to bird densities. In this report BBS indices have been converted to densities by a method developed by Rosenberg and Blancher (MS submitted). Briefly, this involves calculating stratified average counts per BBS route in each BCR, adjusting upwards to best time of day using the ratio of maximum to average detection rates across all 50 stops within BBS routes, converting to density using estimated point count detection distances (landbirds were assigned to one of 4 detection distance classes) to calculate the area sampled per BBS route, and extrapolating to a regional estimate based on region area. The time of day adjustment allows estimation of population for some species that are typically detected only on BBS stops sampled before dawn. BBS estimates probably underestimate early season breeders (e.g. woodpeckers and owls) and misses some of the more uncommon nocturnal birds. BBS may also under represent some habitats and their associated birds, e.g. some kinds of wetlands, possibly interior forests and grasslands.

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